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The swing states: a round-up: The road to 270

HURRICANE SANDY smashed into a presidential race that was about as close as it could be. According to a constantly updated poll-of-polls published by the invaluable political website RealClearPolitics, the challenger, Mitt Romney, is now roughly tied with Barack Obama in the popular vote.That tie, though, is essentially irrelevant, thanks to the Electoral College that allocates each state a number of votes in proportion to its size and (with two tiny exceptions) gives all of them to the candidate who wins most support there. As always, therefore, the battle has boiled down to just a few swing states. What is different this time is the narrowness of the margins in them.

Mr Obama, it is now clear, will not win any state he did not win in 2008, and is instead fighting hard to hold on to the gains he made then. Some states have been beyond his reach…

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