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Lexington: The elusive progressive majority

IN BOXING they call it the tale of the tape. Before battle is joined, fight fans and managers compare the height, weight, reach and record of the contestants. This, roughly, is the equivalent moment in American politics. One year out from a presidential election is the point at which big strategic decisions about the shape of the forthcoming fight are being made. It is also the time when a bad strategic decision can turn out to be fatal.Is the campaign to re-elect Barack Obama about to make a mistake of this kind? One person who thinks it might be is Bill Galston, a former member of Bill Clinton’s White House. He has just explained why in a paper for the Brookings Institution, of which he is now a senior fellow. But to understand his worries you need first to look back more than a year at a different argument set forth by another political analyst, Ruy Teixeira, not long before the Republicans captured the House of Representatives in November 2010. In the long run, Mr Teixeira argued then, and unless the Republicans changed their ways, the great tectonic plates of American society were moving against them.Mr…

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